Sunday, January 27, 2013

Russia, Kazakhstan Expand Gold Reserves as Central Banks Buy



Russia and Kazakhstan expanded their gold holdings in December, seeking to diversify their reserves as the metal capped a 12th annual advance and investors raised holdings to an all-time high.

Russian holdings climbed 2.1 percent to 957.8 metric tons in December, taking the increase over 2012 to 8.5 percent, according to data on the International Monetary Fund’s website. Kazakhstan’s hoard expanded 1.7 percent to 115.3 tons last month, and surged 41 percent over the year, the data showed.

Bullion has rallied as investors sought a haven from weaker currencies and potential inflation, with governments from the U.S. to Europe and Japan ramping up stimulus to promote faster growth. Gold holdings in exchange-traded products reached a record last month. Prices will rally this year and into 2014 on central banks’ stimulus measures, according to Morgan Stanley.

Central banks need to “diversify into gold as the euro zone is not yet out of the woods,” said Lynette Tan, a senior investment analyst at Phillip Futures Pte. in Singapore. “This will provide long-term support for gold prices.”

Gold for immediate delivery climbed as much as 0.2 percent to $1,661.45 an ounce and was at $1,660.40 at 1:11 p.m. in Singapore. The price increased 7.1 percent last year, the smallest annual gain since 2008. The precious metal reached a record $1,921.15 an ounce in September 2011 as Europe’s debt crisis stoked speculation that the euro zone may fragment.

Sunday, January 13, 2013

What Are Gold Bugs Afraid Of? (CNBC)


The price of an ounce of fine gold entered this Millennium at $271.1, one of the lowest gold prices in the previous 20 years. Since then, the price of gold has soared more than five-fold. Over the same period, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 16.5 percent. Corrected for inflation, gold returned a whopping 480 percent, while real returns on major stock market indices in the U.S. and in the euro area were negative - in double digits.

That was meant to be a "killer" opening statement of a friend of mine, a lawyer and a notorious gold bug, in a heated discussion about the investment allure of what the British economist John Maynard Keynes called the "barbarous relic."


My response was that these exceptionally strong gold returns were mainly due to (a) what is considered to be the most serious financial crisis the world has ever known, and (b) the ensuing Great Recession in developed economies, representing 60 percent of global output.
 

Thursday, January 3, 2013

Gold to Hit $2,000/Ounce in 2013?